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Thursday, 7 June 2018

Nifty Option IV - few Observations - 7 Jun 2018 EOD


Nifty Option OI & IV data analysis 07 Jun 2018 



* Very important observation that PUT IV's are almost more than double than the CALL IV

* Option Support & Resistance range is 10600 - 11000 CMP 10768, ATM 10750

* PUT Options - 10600 PE is having open interest of 43 Lacs & 2nd Highest OI writing is observed in 10200 PE which is 34 Lacs

* CALL Options - 11000 CE is having nearly 40 Lacs OI & 2nd Highest OI writing is near 10800CE 

What it indicate??
Current option boundaries is 10600 - 11000 
Difference 400 
Nifty Tested 10800 yesterday
Max Upside potential might 200 points 
Max Downside potential might 200 points

2nd Possible Option Boundaries shows 10200 - 10800
Difference 600
Nifty Tested 10800 yesterday
Max Upside potential might be 0 points 
Max Downside potential might be 600 points

Who will impacted and how?

If Nifty Goes up from current level then,

As per OI -  
Upside Price Possibility around 0 -200 points

As per IV
CALL IV is already LOW, there will be room for increase in IV 
            
If Nifty moves up with CALL IV increase
Helps CALL Option buyers but Scope is limited as max price upside possibility 0- 200 level and hence for CALL premium is capped on upside  



If nifty Goes down from current level then,

As per OI - 
Downside Price Possibility around 200 - 600 points

As per IV - 
CALL IV is already LOW there will be room for increase in  IV

If Nifty moves down with CALL IV increase - 
Helps PUT Option Buyers its possibility is more considering NIFTY Price fall possibility opens for 200 -600 points     

Ultimately in simple language, 

If Nifty moves High - Low Benefits to Call Buyer and PUT Writers 

If Nifty moves Down - High Benefits for PUT Buyer and CALL Writers

Now think which bus you need to catch!!!


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