Nifty Option OI & IV data analysis 07 Jun 2018
* Very important observation that PUT IV's are almost more than double than the CALL IV
* Option Support & Resistance range is 10600 - 11000 CMP 10768, ATM 10750
* PUT Options - 10600 PE is having open interest of 43 Lacs & 2nd Highest OI writing is observed in 10200 PE which is 34 Lacs
* CALL Options - 11000 CE is having nearly 40 Lacs OI & 2nd Highest OI writing is near 10800CE
What it indicate??
Current option boundaries is 10600 - 11000
Difference 400
Nifty Tested 10800 yesterday
Max Upside potential might 200 points
Max Downside potential might 200 points
2nd Possible Option Boundaries shows 10200 - 10800
Difference 600
Nifty Tested 10800 yesterday
Max Upside potential might be 0 points
Max Downside potential might be 600 points
Who will impacted and how?
If Nifty Goes up from current level then,
As per OI -
Upside Price Possibility around 0 -200 points
As per IV -
CALL IV is already LOW, there will be room for increase in IV
If Nifty moves up with CALL IV increase -
Helps CALL Option buyers but Scope is limited as max price upside possibility 0- 200 level and hence for CALL premium is capped on upside
If nifty Goes down from current level then,
As per OI -
Downside Price Possibility around 200 - 600 points
As per IV -
CALL IV is already LOW there will be room for increase in IV
If Nifty moves down with CALL IV increase -
Helps PUT Option Buyers its possibility is more considering NIFTY Price fall possibility opens for 200 -600 points
Ultimately in simple language,
If Nifty moves High - Low Benefits to Call Buyer and PUT Writers
If Nifty moves Down - High Benefits for PUT Buyer and CALL Writers
Now think which bus you need to catch!!!
Good one Yogi
ReplyDeleteKedar
Thanks!!!
DeleteThank you for info
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