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Sunday 15 April 2018

TVS Electron - Patience Reward Game


TVS Electron - CMP - 490.80

Flat Pattern Formation and Breakout 

This stock got benefits of demonetization happened on Nov 2016 and look at his price movement after that.
Also, This stock defines the definition of the term Patience and Rewards in term of stock market.

* Patience - Longest TIME devotion with PRICE depreciation 
* Rewards - Biggest PRICE Appreciation with Shortest TIME 

Patience nothing but correction or sideways price action and Rewards nothing but rally or Impulse. 

Strong Points -
Technically - 
* Flat Pattern Breakout after support from 200MA
* Positive Divergence on RSI near support at 200MA
* Yogi's Star Setup - Price, Volume and RSI Breakout 

Fundamentally - 
* Y-o-Y & Q-o-Q EPS is Positive
* Almost Zero Debt Company
* Sales & Profit Growth are Positive
* Promoter Holding nearly 60% 
* Excellent ROE 16.5
* PEG Ration Good 1.25

Weakness - 
* We observed Price Rally period for 1 month and almost 15 days left and price appreciation already happened, Scenario of missed entry point of fantastic rally (there might be some room left for price appreciation as previous top is yet to break)
* Fundamentally, Operating Profit Margin is low 0.76
* 10 Years ROE is very LOW 




Saturday 14 April 2018

Madras Fertilizer - Classical Pullback Formation for Re-entry


Madras Fertilizer

CMP - 36.95

Technicals - 
* Strong Technical for Long term Investment
* Classical Pullback Re-entry formation
* Test of previous GapUp Breakout level
* Test of 200 Moving avg and took support and gave fresh Breakout on Daily Chart
* Yogi's STAR setup - Price, Volume & RSI breakout
* RSI formed +ve divergence and moved up.
* Moving Avg are reversing to +ve.


Fundamentals - 
* Promoters are holding more than 85% 
* Last Q2Q same year & last Year EPS growth are Positive and Improving.

Weakness - 
* Technically, Price might consolidate in the sideways range 31 -37. Next few days will confirm its price movement.
* Fundamentally, ROE and Reserves values are not encouraging. 

My Take - 
BUY at CMP 36.95 and every fall SIP Wise with Stop of 30 level.