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Sunday, 15 April 2018

TVS Electron - Patience Reward Game


TVS Electron - CMP - 490.80

Flat Pattern Formation and Breakout 

This stock got benefits of demonetization happened on Nov 2016 and look at his price movement after that.
Also, This stock defines the definition of the term Patience and Rewards in term of stock market.

* Patience - Longest TIME devotion with PRICE depreciation 
* Rewards - Biggest PRICE Appreciation with Shortest TIME 

Patience nothing but correction or sideways price action and Rewards nothing but rally or Impulse. 

Strong Points -
Technically - 
* Flat Pattern Breakout after support from 200MA
* Positive Divergence on RSI near support at 200MA
* Yogi's Star Setup - Price, Volume and RSI Breakout 

Fundamentally - 
* Y-o-Y & Q-o-Q EPS is Positive
* Almost Zero Debt Company
* Sales & Profit Growth are Positive
* Promoter Holding nearly 60% 
* Excellent ROE 16.5
* PEG Ration Good 1.25

Weakness - 
* We observed Price Rally period for 1 month and almost 15 days left and price appreciation already happened, Scenario of missed entry point of fantastic rally (there might be some room left for price appreciation as previous top is yet to break)
* Fundamentally, Operating Profit Margin is low 0.76
* 10 Years ROE is very LOW 




Saturday, 14 April 2018

Madras Fertilizer - Classical Pullback Formation for Re-entry


Madras Fertilizer

CMP - 36.95

Technicals - 
* Strong Technical for Long term Investment
* Classical Pullback Re-entry formation
* Test of previous GapUp Breakout level
* Test of 200 Moving avg and took support and gave fresh Breakout on Daily Chart
* Yogi's STAR setup - Price, Volume & RSI breakout
* RSI formed +ve divergence and moved up.
* Moving Avg are reversing to +ve.


Fundamentals - 
* Promoters are holding more than 85% 
* Last Q2Q same year & last Year EPS growth are Positive and Improving.

Weakness - 
* Technically, Price might consolidate in the sideways range 31 -37. Next few days will confirm its price movement.
* Fundamentally, ROE and Reserves values are not encouraging. 

My Take - 
BUY at CMP 36.95 and every fall SIP Wise with Stop of 30 level.



Monday, 5 February 2018

Market PANIC Day Today - What to do now ??


06 Feb 2018 - 10:30am

Today SENSEX is down more 1300 points and Nifty down by 300+ at the Market Opening session...

Social Media & Print Media is having floods of news how much Lacs or Cr rupees loss in single day in Indian Market..... 

Everyone calls for whats to do how such fall happens or how much fall will expect...

PANIC situation is arise now....









What to do now ???

Let me share few things as per my experience.....

Market continuously tank lower and lower levels.......created  panic situation across the investor and traders. 

Hence suggest everyone that do not panic in such situations, after big rally such kind of correction can occur. If your entry was right and then there should not be any fear factor.

If those who entered/invested freshly in Jan month, they will face issue of portfolio meltdown..

Now what to do at such situation -

* If your are entered in Jan month or last stage of bullish rally, it is preferred to book loss. And wait for re-enter at much lower level than now

* For rest investors, have 2 options and those  who have additional money to invest then Hold your portfolio and adopt status quo just now. Wait for lower level and add your additional investment and accumulate your good fundamental stock.

* Those who do not have additional investment, then it is better to book your 50% portfolio irrespective of profit or loss. Wait for much lower level to invest the 50% back and accumulate the same good fundametal stock. 

* Now what about fresh investors who wants to invest fresh money and waiting since long for market to fall, the best option for them is to start SIP (Systematic Investment Process) in directly into the stock which are fundamentally Good.

Note - 

* Do not ask for levels as in such global selloff...no technical or fundamental levels will be respected... Let the market fall stops and sustain that level and then start applying technical and Fundentals to that stocks. (Technically, on immediate basis 10350 - 10050 is the big band of Support Zone) 

* This is just personal view and not advice or recommendation as I am not SEBI Registered advisers (Though applied for the same).

Thursday, 11 January 2018

TINPLATE - Our find as a Multibagger in 2016 ..made Real Multibaggar now


Before looking at the current chart, please look at our previous chart from which we found this stock as a Multibagger. The study was simple and based on the Technical Analysis. I was not looking fundamental during that time.
Another example that simplicity works well and patience pays!!!

Old post for reference -
http://yogeshtamkhade.blogspot.in/search/label/TINPLATE%20INDIA

Chart Shared on 25 Jun 2016



Current Chart - 11 Jan 2018 

Monday, 27 November 2017

JAICORP - Breakout on Yogi's CBT Pattern - Follow up update



Compare the JAICORP Monthly Chart after Yogi's reveal CBT Pattern......

08 Nov 2017 - 


27 Nov 2017 - 



08 Nov 2017 - 

27 Nov 2017 -





Sunday, 5 November 2017

TVTODAY - Possible Breakout of a Triangle Pattern


TVTODAY is the stock selected based on the technical breakout and Strong Fundamentals. 
Hence good to hold Mid term - Long term purpose. 

Market Cap - MidCap 
Sector - Services 
Industry - Media & Entertainment

Selection Criteria - 
Technical - 
* RSI above 60 
* Good Volume
* Positive Reverse Diversion 
* Good Primary movement support with Good volume
* Possible 5th wave as per Elliot wave theory

Fundamentals - 
* Zero Debt Company 
* Attractive PE 20.95
* 1st Quarter result was weak but expecting good Result (as per technical parameters)
* Maintaining 3 years ROE  18.11%
* Operating Profit Margin - 33%
* Promoter Holding more that 50% 
* Reserved - 596 cr.